The Winnipeg Jets have been having a successful season so far, with a record of 15-3-0. A big part of their success is due to their star goalie, Connor Hellebuyck, who won the Vezina Trophy last season. However, even the best goalies need a break sometimes, which is why backup Eric Comrie got the chance to play against the Tampa Bay Lightning. This unexpected change led to a shift in the betting odds, with the Lightning becoming the favorites and ultimately winning the game 4-1.
In hockey, goalies play a unique role as they are expected to be on the ice for the entire game. This raises the question of how much of an impact a goalie change can have on the outcome of a game and the associated betting odds. According to Karry Shreeve, head of hockey at Caesars, a goalie change typically only affects the odds by 3 to 5%, depending on the specific circumstances of the team and the game.
Unlike other sports like baseball, where the starting pitcher has a significant impact on the game, hockey oddsmakers take a more holistic approach when setting betting lines. While the starting goalie is an important factor, other variables such as injuries to key players or unexpected lineup changes also play a role in determining the odds.
As the NHL season progresses, bookmakers will adjust their goalie power rankings based on various factors, one of the most important being the goalie’s winning percentage compared to the team’s overall performance. This metric provides valuable insights into how much of an impact a goalie has on the team’s success and can help bettors make informed decisions when placing bets.
While it may be tempting to focus solely on the starting goalie when analyzing a game, it’s essential to consider the entire team and how each player contributes to the overall outcome. In hockey, like in any team sport, success is a collective effort, and every player, including the backup goalie, plays a crucial role in determining the final result. So, the next time you’re thinking about placing a bet on an NHL game, remember that it’s not just about the goalie but the team as a whole.