Fantasy Hockey 2024: Top Rebounding Forwards Analysis
Fantasy hockey is an ever-evolving landscape where players can experience highs and lows throughout their careers. The question of whether a player will bounce back from a season-long lull in production is always worth asking. In the world of fantasy sports, it’s crucial to analyze trends and statistics to predict potential bounce-back candidates for the upcoming season.
Reasons for Dips in Production
There are various reasons why a player may experience a dip in production in a particular season. Injuries can play a significant role in affecting a player’s performance on the ice. For example, Claude Giroux underwent surgery for hip and abdominal injuries in 2016, leading to a decrease in his fantasy points per game (FPPG). However, he bounced back the following season after recovering from his injuries.
Situational factors can also impact a player’s performance. When Ilya Kovalchuk joined the New Jersey Devils in the 2010-11 season, his first full season with the team, he saw a dip in FPPG compared to his career average. However, he rebounded the following season, showcasing the influence of a player’s environment on their fantasy output.
The COVID-19 pandemic also had a significant impact on player performance during the bubble season. Players like Timo Meier, Dylan Larkin, and William Nylander struggled during the 2020-21 campaign, falling below fantasy relevance. While some players saw a decline due to external factors, others faced challenges without a clear reason for their slump, like Alex DeBrincat in the 2019-20 season.
New Surroundings and Potential Bounce-Backs
Switching teams can sometimes provide a boost for players looking to bounce back from a down season. Over the past 15 years, 32 forwards have increased their FPPG by 0.35 or more when joining a new team in the offseason. While success in a new environment is not guaranteed, the change of scenery can rejuvenate a player’s performance.
Top Bounce-Back Candidates for 2024
1. Tage Thompson, C, Buffalo Sabres: Despite a slight dip in FPPG last season, Thompson has the potential to return to his previous form with the Sabres. With developing players like JJ Peterka expected to boost the offense, Thompson remains a valuable asset in fantasy leagues.
2. Alex DeBrincat, W, Detroit Red Wings: DeBrincat has shown resilience in the past, bouncing back from a down season in 2019-20. With the potential for improved line chemistry and power play opportunities, DeBrincat is poised to exceed expectations in the upcoming season.
3. Tim Stutzle, C, Ottawa Senators: Stutzle’s shooting percentage fluctuated last season, impacting his goal-scoring output. However, he has the skills to bounce back and contribute more consistently on the ice.
4. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, C, Edmonton Oilers: While Nugent-Hopkins had a standout season in 2022-23, replicating that success may be challenging. However, he remains a reliable fantasy starter with the potential for solid contributions.
5. Elias Lindholm, C, Boston Bruins: Lindholm’s previous success, including a 42-goal season, highlights his fantasy potential. With the opportunity to form chemistry with David Pastrnak, Lindholm could be a valuable gamble in fantasy drafts.
In addition to these top bounce-back candidates, there are several troubled twosomes and upside wingers to keep an eye on for the upcoming season. While some players may face challenges in returning to peak performance, others have the potential to exceed expectations and provide value to fantasy managers.
Conclusion
Fantasy hockey offers a dynamic and unpredictable playing field where players can experience both highs and lows throughout their careers. By analyzing past trends, situational factors, and potential bounce-back candidates, fantasy managers can make informed decisions when drafting their teams for the upcoming season. Keep an eye on players who have the potential to rebound from a down season and contribute significantly to fantasy success.