The gap is widening. A few weeks before the European elections, voters’ voting intentions are starting to take shape. The next elections for representatives to the European Parliament will take place, in all Member States of the European Union, from June 6 to 9, 2024. The fourth wave of the Ipsos survey shows that certain parties are gaining ground in the polls.

While the National Rally (RN) remains in first place, the gap is widening in certain electoral lists, according to data from Ipsos in partnership with the Center for Political Research at Sciences Po, Cevipof-Ipsos-Institut Montaigne-Fondation Jean-Jaurès for Le Monde.

According to the survey carried out from April 19 to 24, with a sample of 10,651 people representative of the French population registered on the electoral lists, the RN list is progressing. In total, Jordan Bardella collects 32% of voting intentions and gains 1 point in the percentages compared to March 11.

A second round is emerging between several lists. The gap in voting intentions between Valérie Hayer (Renaissance, Modem, Horizons, UDI) and Raphaël Glucksmann is widening. Among other parties such as La France Insoumise, Europe-Ecologie Les Verts and the Républicains, voting intentions are still very tight.

The survey specifies that an error rate exists between 0.7 and 1.3 points. “Only the margins of error of lists for which voting intentions are greater than or equal to 5% are visually represented,” specifies Le Monde.

As a reminder, you must exceed 5% of the votes to send deputies to the European Parliament.